WE ARE ABLE TO DO OUR BEST! “É das coisas, que os sonhos são feitos.” It is about things, that dreams are made." (William Shakespeare
terça-feira, outubro 20, 2026
Europe is restless, leaderless, and somewhat "confused"!
Europe is restless, leaderless, and somewhat "confused"!
And there are plenty of reasons for this. The perception of a restless, leaderless, and "confused" Europe reflects the current moment of geopolitical and economic transition that the continent is going through. Several analysts point out that the European Union is facing an internal leadership crisis at a time when external challenges demand quick and firm responses. Years and years of cuts and disinvestment in health, education, housing, and public services are pushing millions of people to the limit, and they have run out of patience. People work, pay taxes, fulfill obligations, and at the end of the month, there is less and less money to live on. Owning a home has become a privilege, getting sick can be a financial problem, and making ends meet is, for many, a daily struggle.
For decades we were told that there was no alternative, that it was necessary to cut public spending, privatize, and let the market work. Well, the market worked. It just didn't work for everyone. In Portugal, it only worked for about 10%, who got rich at the expense of 60% (there will be about 20% who are poor and have nothing and about 10% who think they are rich but these people despise them!!!)
And now, when people start to lose patience and take to the streets, governments are very concerned about public order. Apparently, a society bursting at the seams is not a cause for concern. What is worrying is when people stop accepting everything in silence.
The internal weakness of national leaders and their respective leaderships causes Europe to exhaustively discuss the bureaucracy of rules while its global competitors advance in the economic and geostrategic field.
The lack of strong leadership and political fragmentation directly and profoundly affect the economic and internal security decisions of the continent, generating institutional paralysis and slow reactions to urgent threats.
The practical impact of this European "mess" is reflected in two major areas:
1. In the Economy: Budgetary Impasses and Loss of Competitiveness
a) EU Budget Deadlock: The weakening of the Franco-German axis has paralyzed major financial decisions. Germany leads a revolt of "frugal" countries (along with the Netherlands, Sweden, Denmark, Austria, and Finland) demanding severe cuts to the European Commission's proposed two trillion euro long-term budget, while France faces a serious fiscal crisis (with its deficit reaching 5.4% of GDP and debt interest rates soaring). Without an agreement between Paris and Berlin, European funds earmarked for innovation are frozen.
b) Fragmentation of the Single Market: The European Union's report on competitiveness and proposals to reindustrialize the continent face selfish resistance from each member state. Instead of acting as a bloc like the US or China, Europe often operates as 27 separate markets. a) Lack of a true Capital Markets Union, which causes European tech startups to flee to the US due to a lack of scalable funding.
c) Trade War Without a Common Strategy: Although France and Germany are trying to propose rapid economic security mechanisms to respond to trade threats from China and the US, the countries remain in direct conflict over protective customs rules (such as disagreements over "Made in Europe" guidelines).
2. In Internal Security and Defense: Hybrid Vulnerability and Delayed Reactions
a) Inability to Centralize Defense: Faced with transatlantic unpredictability and Russian aggressiveness on its eastern borders, the European Commission has been trying to force the creation of a European Defense Union and a new security forum. However, since the EU does not have a standing army and depends on political unanimity, European rearmament is carried out in a disorganized manner, with each country investing on its own and "buying" from the USA (especially in maritime and air defense) instead of creating an integrated military industry.
b) Hybrid Threats and Sabotage: Europe's internal security is under constant scrutiny through coercive methods that avoid conventional warfare. The lack of unified leadership makes the continent slow to respond to massive cyberattacks, satellite interference, coordinated disinformation, and sabotage of critical infrastructure (such as submarine cables, see the case of the destruction by Ukrainians of the cable that supplied gas to Germany, and logistics hubs).
c) Lack of Control and Divisions in Migration Management: External borders remain a focus of political instability. Without strong leadership to impose a common immigration strategy and economic proximity to Africa, countries in the Global South face isolated local migration management crises, while governments Populists in the East are using the issue to veto joint decisions in Brussels.
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